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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.01vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+3.70vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.74+4.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+3.98vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.38+2.34vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.54vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+3.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.11+11.65vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.56+2.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+3.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.00+2.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+1.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.15-3.54vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.91-1.30vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+0.52vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-2.23vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.89vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.93-0.22vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.65-2.31vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.21-5.43vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-1.09-7.30vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-6.71vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.11-4.64vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.83-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of California at Los Angeles1.7921.1%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Santa Barbara1.3519.4%1st Place
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6.7California Poly Maritime Academy0.868.3%1st Place
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8.22Arizona State University0.745.1%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.304.2%1st Place
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8.34University of Southern California0.385.4%1st Place
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8.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.2%1st Place
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11.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.233.5%1st Place
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20.65University of California at San Diego-2.110.4%1st Place
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12.77University of California at Berkeley-0.561.9%1st Place
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14.83University of California at Santa Cruz-0.981.8%1st Place
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14.88University of California at San Diego-1.001.8%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.9%1st Place
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15.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.2%1st Place
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11.46University of California at San Diego-0.153.1%1st Place
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14.7Arizona State University-0.911.9%1st Place
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17.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.7%1st Place
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15.77University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.3%1st Place
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18.11University of California at San Diego-1.460.8%1st Place
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19.78University of California at San Diego-1.930.5%1st Place
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18.69San Diego State University-1.650.4%1st Place
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16.57Arizona State University-1.211.1%1st Place
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15.7San Diego State University-1.091.4%1st Place
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17.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.7%1st Place
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20.36Arizona State University-2.110.4%1st Place
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19.08University of California at San Diego-1.830.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 21.1% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 19.4% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Warnery | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 21.2% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Farago | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Liam Williams | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.6% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| William Bailly | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Adeline Spencer | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 19.9% |
| Maria Guinness | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.