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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+1.23vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44-0.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.87+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.17+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.55+2.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.70+1.75vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.62-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.78-2.44vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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1.93Stanford University3.440.4%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Berkeley1.170.0%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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5.85California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Oregon0.780.0%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 32.8% | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 42.8% | 32.5% | 16.3% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.2% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 21.8% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 2.8% |
| Martin Gibson | 4.7% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Estella Wong | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 24.3% | 37.9% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 24.4% | 46.6% |
| William Antrobus | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 21.7% | 15.6% | 5.9% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 3.4% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 4.8% |
| Samuel Heller | 8.9% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 18.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.