← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Michael Dahl 32.8% 32.8% 19.3% 10.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Axel Sly 42.8% 32.5% 16.3% 6.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Skeffington 3.2% 5.1% 9.1% 13.1% 15.9% 21.8% 15.6% 13.4% 2.8%
Martin Gibson 4.7% 7.2% 14.0% 17.7% 19.6% 15.5% 13.1% 6.7% 1.5%
Estella Wong 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 5.3% 6.8% 8.5% 13.1% 24.3% 37.9%
Janice Wondolleck 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 3.3% 4.0% 7.3% 10.7% 24.4% 46.6%
William Antrobus 2.8% 3.5% 6.5% 11.9% 14.1% 18.0% 21.7% 15.6% 5.9%
Charles Shoemaker 3.4% 4.2% 10.1% 11.3% 16.9% 17.1% 18.8% 13.4% 4.8%
Samuel Heller 8.9% 11.8% 21.2% 20.7% 18.1% 9.7% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.