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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+0.96vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii-0.63+0.89vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.15vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-0.50vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.27-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96University of Hawaii1.0546.0%1st Place
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2.9University of Hawaii0.1219.8%1st Place
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3.89University of Hawaii-0.6310.6%1st Place
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4.15University of California at San Diego-0.708.3%1st Place
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4.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.007.4%1st Place
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4.96San Diego State University-1.274.8%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Los Angeles-1.823.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 46.0% | 27.7% | 15.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 19.8% | 24.3% | 23.2% | 17.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| katherine shofran | 10.6% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 6.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 16.9% | 8.8% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 15.0% |
| Tegan Smith | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 23.6% | 23.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.