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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+1.24vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44-0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.78+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.17+0.81vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.62+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.87-0.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.55+0.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.70-0.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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1.94Stanford University3.440.4%1st Place
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5.62University of Oregon0.780.0%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Berkeley1.170.0%1st Place
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5.67California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 33.1% | 32.4% | 18.9% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 42.3% | 33.1% | 15.4% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 4.4% |
| Martin Gibson | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| William Antrobus | 2.7% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 14.4% | 5.6% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 4.0% | 4.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 9.9% | 2.7% |
| Estella Wong | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 27.4% | 39.6% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 25.7% | 45.9% |
| Samuel Heller | 8.5% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 21.6% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.