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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii-0.63+1.86vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.12-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.18vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-1.27-0.10vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of Hawaii1.0544.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Hawaii-0.6310.8%1st Place
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2.9University of Hawaii0.1219.7%1st Place
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4.18University of California at San Diego-0.7010.0%1st Place
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4.9San Diego State University-1.275.1%1st Place
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4.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.007.9%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.822.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 44.2% | 29.1% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| katherine shofran | 10.8% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 6.5% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 19.7% | 24.9% | 24.1% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 9.2% |
| Tegan Smith | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 23.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 20.1% | 14.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.