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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+1.25vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44-0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.78+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.17+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.87+0.28vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.62-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.55+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.70-0.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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1.94Stanford University3.440.4%1st Place
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5.62University of Oregon0.780.0%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Berkeley1.170.0%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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5.77California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 33.1% | 31.8% | 19.1% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 42.6% | 33.0% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 4.0% |
| Martin Gibson | 4.6% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 19.5% | 20.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.3% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
| William Antrobus | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 23.4% | 14.8% | 4.9% |
| Estella Wong | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 26.6% | 39.5% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 25.4% | 45.7% |
| Samuel Heller | 8.8% | 11.1% | 20.4% | 22.0% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.