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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.81+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Washington3.09+1.30vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.02+2.77vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon1.84+2.27vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.49+2.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.72+0.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.87-0.98vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.05-2.39vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University0.76-1.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.99-6.24vs Predicted
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13University of Puget Sound1.26-5.11vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-0.29-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93University of Washington2.810.2%1st Place
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3.3University of Washington3.090.2%1st Place
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5.77Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Oregon1.840.1%1st Place
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7.16Northwestern University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.1%1st Place
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5.61Western Washington University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.89Oregon State University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.990.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Victoria-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Darrin | 17.6% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Felipe Lopez | 22.8% | 23.0% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Craig Emmes | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Wien | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 5.4% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Mickail Murawski | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Stephens | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Aike Burger | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 24.7% | 14.9% |
| Logan Swartz | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Mike Knape | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 7.9% |
| Robert Sarkissian | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 16.6% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.