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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon0.78+4.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.55+5.69vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.44-1.13vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.04-1.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.87+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.17-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.70+0.70vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.62-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53University of Oregon0.780.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Davis-0.550.0%1st Place
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1.87Stanford University3.440.5%1st Place
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2.25Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Berkeley1.170.0%1st Place
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7.7University of California at Berkeley-0.700.0%1st Place
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5.81California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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4.02University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Shoemaker | 3.4% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 20.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Estella Wong | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 29.6% | 40.3% |
| Axel Sly | 45.5% | 31.3% | 15.7% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dahl | 31.4% | 33.6% | 20.3% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.0% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
| Martin Gibson | 4.5% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Janice Wondolleck | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 26.3% | 43.7% |
| William Antrobus | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 6.3% |
| Samuel Heller | 8.0% | 11.4% | 20.9% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.