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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.38+6.22vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+3.74vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+4.66vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.15+6.51vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.79-3.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+4.20vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+5.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+3.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-2.62vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.91+1.78vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.93+5.90vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.11+5.39vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.56-3.37vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-1.59vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.00-2.87vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-1.91vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.65-1.68vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-3.55vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-1.09-6.09vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.46-5.08vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.21-7.40vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.11-4.71vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.83-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.3518.9%1st Place
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8.22University of Southern California0.385.9%1st Place
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6.74California Poly Maritime Academy0.868.6%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.4%1st Place
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11.51University of California at San Diego-0.153.2%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.3%1st Place
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3.81University of California at Los Angeles1.7921.1%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.5%1st Place
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8.29Arizona State University0.745.8%1st Place
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15.2University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.4%1st Place
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14.83University of California at Santa Cruz-0.981.5%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.304.7%1st Place
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14.78Arizona State University-0.911.2%1st Place
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19.9University of California at San Diego-1.930.4%1st Place
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20.39University of California at San Diego-2.110.4%1st Place
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12.63University of California at Berkeley-0.562.3%1st Place
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15.41University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.6%1st Place
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15.13University of California at San Diego-1.001.9%1st Place
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17.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.9%1st Place
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18.32San Diego State University-1.650.9%1st Place
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17.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.430.8%1st Place
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15.91San Diego State University-1.091.1%1st Place
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17.92University of California at San Diego-1.460.9%1st Place
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16.6Arizona State University-1.211.1%1st Place
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20.29Arizona State University-2.110.5%1st Place
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19.15University of California at San Diego-1.830.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 18.9% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 21.1% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Farago | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Summer Drake | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 14.8% |
| Alexander Warnery | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 19.5% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam Williams | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Adeline Spencer | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| William Bailly | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 20.9% |
| Maria Guinness | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.