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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.70+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.12+0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii-0.63+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.82+1.19vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-1.04vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.27-1.65vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.42-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Hawaii1.0541.9%1st Place
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4.51University of California at San Diego-0.708.7%1st Place
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3.08University of Hawaii0.1220.5%1st Place
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4.17University of Hawaii-0.6310.2%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Los Angeles-1.823.2%1st Place
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4.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.006.7%1st Place
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5.35San Diego State University-1.274.8%1st Place
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5.65University of California at Irvine-1.424.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 41.9% | 28.1% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 7.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 20.5% | 21.9% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| katherine shofran | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
| Katherine Smith | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 37.5% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 11.5% |
| Tegan Smith | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 17.3% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.