Race 1A

timme-tune-up

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matthew Graham 36.5% 27.7% 16.0% 9.9% 6.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Avallone 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 2.5% 2.8% 3.8% 6.6% 6.5% 8.0% 12.0% 18.7% 20.7% 13.1%
Kelly Kramer 2.7% 3.2% 4.5% 5.0% 7.2% 9.2% 10.6% 11.3% 15.0% 11.4% 11.0% 6.6% 2.3%
Ryan Grosch 15.1% 15.8% 18.9% 14.3% 12.5% 9.7% 6.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Phillip Morley 15.1% 16.8% 16.6% 14.9% 11.9% 11.0% 6.5% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Phil Holt 4.5% 6.7% 7.7% 10.0% 9.1% 12.2% 12.5% 12.7% 8.6% 8.7% 4.3% 2.5% 0.5%
Jacob Bruce 9.0% 8.7% 11.4% 12.1% 12.3% 12.6% 11.3% 9.0% 7.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Eric Sauter 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 2.8% 4.5% 3.3% 4.9% 6.5% 10.0% 13.2% 17.4% 20.9% 11.7%
Ryan Davidson 3.2% 5.6% 4.2% 6.9% 8.2% 8.8% 10.6% 14.0% 12.6% 11.2% 7.8% 5.2% 1.7%
Zi Chong Kao 7.0% 5.2% 9.1% 11.3% 11.8% 12.4% 11.0% 10.5% 7.9% 7.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6%
Laura Woldt 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.3% 4.0% 4.5% 5.8% 7.4% 10.0% 13.9% 16.5% 18.1% 13.2%
Jack Greve 2.5% 5.3% 5.2% 7.3% 8.1% 9.1% 10.2% 11.8% 12.9% 12.1% 8.6% 5.6% 1.3%
Alex Mayo 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.6% 1.3% 2.0% 2.0% 3.4% 5.1% 8.8% 18.1% 55.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.