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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.86+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.95+1.83vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.88+1.01vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.83+2.49vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.00-0.04vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.53+2.68vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-0.57+1.66vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-0.54+0.64vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University0.51-2.68vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.27-5.64vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.32-4.40vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.51-5.61vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-1.58-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34University of Michigan2.860.4%1st Place
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3.83University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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6.49Purdue University0.830.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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9.68Marquette University-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.66Lake Forest College-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Iowa-0.540.0%1st Place
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7.32Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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5.36Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.6University of Wisconsin0.320.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Michigan0.510.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Graham | 39.1% | 25.2% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 14.8% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Morley | 13.6% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Phil Holt | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Avallone | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 19.7% | 12.8% |
| Laura Woldt | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 13.7% |
| Eric Sauter | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 11.4% |
| Jack Greve | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Bruce | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Kramer | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Davidson | 2.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Alex Mayo | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.