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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+8.89vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.38+4.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+3.86vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+2.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.15+4.37vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+0.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.98vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-3.36vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.83+6.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.00+1.93vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+3.02vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.65+2.93vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.58vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.07vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-2.83vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.09-3.23vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.11-0.19vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-5.74vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-6.99vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.87-0.23vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.21-8.11vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.11-5.03vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.93-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of California at Los Angeles1.7920.6%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.3520.9%1st Place
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11.89University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.5%1st Place
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8.16University of Southern California0.385.4%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.305.3%1st Place
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8.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.8%1st Place
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11.37University of California at San Diego-0.152.1%1st Place
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8.18Arizona State University0.745.3%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.868.1%1st Place
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6.64California Poly Maritime Academy0.868.8%1st Place
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10.99University of California at Berkeley-0.222.8%1st Place
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18.48University of California at San Diego-1.830.7%1st Place
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14.93University of California at San Diego-1.001.0%1st Place
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17.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.431.1%1st Place
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17.93San Diego State University-1.650.5%1st Place
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17.58University of California at San Diego-1.460.7%1st Place
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16.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.1%1st Place
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15.17University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.8%1st Place
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15.77San Diego State University-1.090.8%1st Place
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19.81University of California at San Diego-2.110.5%1st Place
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15.26University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.9%1st Place
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15.01University of California at Santa Cruz-0.981.5%1st Place
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22.77Arizona State University-2.870.1%1st Place
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15.89Arizona State University-1.211.0%1st Place
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19.97Arizona State University-2.110.4%1st Place
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19.3University of California at San Diego-1.930.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 20.6% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 20.9% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Guinness | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| samson grunwald | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Adeline Spencer | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Warnery | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| Liam Williams | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Farago | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 40.8% |
| William Bailly | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.