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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.86+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.95+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.88+1.10vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.27+1.46vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-0.54+4.68vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.53+3.74vs Predicted
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7Lake Forest College-0.57+2.79vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University0.51-0.62vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.51-1.55vs Predicted
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10Purdue University0.83-3.45vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago1.00-5.07vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.74-6.13vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-1.58-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of Michigan2.860.4%1st Place
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3.92University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Wisconsin1.880.1%1st Place
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5.46Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Iowa-0.540.0%1st Place
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9.74Marquette University-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.79Lake Forest College-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.38Western Michigan University0.510.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Michigan0.510.0%1st Place
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6.55Purdue University0.830.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Wisconsin0.740.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Michigan-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Graham | 38.2% | 24.7% | 17.4% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Grosch | 14.7% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Morley | 11.9% | 18.6% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Bruce | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Eric Sauter | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 11.0% |
| Christopher Avallone | 1.2% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 13.6% |
| Laura Woldt | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 15.0% |
| Jack Greve | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Phil Holt | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Walter | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Alex Mayo | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.