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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.79+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+2.20vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+5.42vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.74+4.46vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.86+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.38+1.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+1.92vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+1.93vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.46+6.25vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43+4.95vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.65+4.99vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.22-3.15vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.09+0.84vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+1.20vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.83+1.54vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-3.02vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.00-4.20vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-5.55vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.21-4.78vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.87+0.66vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-7.72vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-2.11-3.76vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.11-4.93vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.93-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of California at Los Angeles1.7923.6%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.3518.0%1st Place
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8.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.5%1st Place
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8.46Arizona State University0.744.9%1st Place
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6.58California Poly Maritime Academy0.868.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Southern California0.385.5%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.304.7%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.867.8%1st Place
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11.23University of California at San Diego-0.153.0%1st Place
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11.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.9%1st Place
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17.25University of California at San Diego-1.461.1%1st Place
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16.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.431.0%1st Place
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17.99San Diego State University-1.650.7%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Berkeley-0.222.5%1st Place
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15.84San Diego State University-1.091.3%1st Place
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17.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.0%1st Place
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18.54University of California at San Diego-1.830.8%1st Place
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14.98University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.4%1st Place
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14.8University of California at San Diego-1.001.5%1st Place
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14.45University of California at Santa Cruz-0.981.1%1st Place
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16.22Arizona State University-1.211.1%1st Place
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22.66Arizona State University-2.870.0%1st Place
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15.28University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.6%1st Place
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20.24University of California at San Diego-2.110.4%1st Place
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20.07Arizona State University-2.110.4%1st Place
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19.41University of California at San Diego-1.930.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Janov | 23.6% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 18.0% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Spencer | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Maria Guinness | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| samson grunwald | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Farago | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| William Bailly | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 40.2% |
| Liam Williams | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Warnery | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.