Race 4A

timme-tune-up

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matthew Graham 36.0% 26.3% 17.8% 10.5% 5.3% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Bruce 8.3% 7.5% 10.3% 12.6% 12.6% 14.0% 9.7% 9.5% 8.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4%
Ryan Grosch 13.2% 18.5% 15.7% 14.9% 13.3% 10.8% 6.2% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Phillip Morley 14.3% 14.8% 17.3% 14.4% 12.9% 9.3% 8.6% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Eric Sauter 2.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 3.2% 3.5% 6.4% 6.5% 9.8% 12.2% 17.8% 21.5% 11.2%
Zi Chong Kao 5.6% 7.8% 8.4% 10.8% 11.4% 10.7% 12.7% 9.9% 9.8% 6.6% 4.6% 1.6% 0.1%
Ian Walter 5.6% 5.4% 7.3% 8.7% 8.4% 9.8% 11.1% 11.9% 12.7% 9.0% 6.4% 3.3% 0.4%
Jack Greve 3.0% 5.4% 4.9% 7.1% 6.9% 9.1% 11.1% 12.6% 12.7% 11.9% 9.3% 5.1% 0.9%
Ryan Davidson 3.3% 4.7% 5.0% 5.9% 7.5% 9.3% 10.3% 12.9% 12.4% 12.0% 10.3% 4.9% 1.5%
Phil Holt 6.2% 4.8% 7.5% 7.9% 11.1% 12.2% 10.6% 10.6% 10.2% 9.5% 5.2% 3.2% 1.0%
Laura Woldt 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 3.3% 3.8% 5.5% 8.4% 8.7% 13.5% 17.2% 19.6% 13.6%
Christopher Avallone 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 2.7% 3.8% 4.9% 6.9% 7.6% 13.0% 18.0% 23.0% 13.8%
Alex Mayo 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 5.7% 9.1% 16.9% 56.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.