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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.56+11.72vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.15+9.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.35+1.07vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+4.64vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.30+2.78vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.86-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+3.87vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.38-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.46+7.38vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.11+4.63vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.65+5.92vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+1.70vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.00+0.57vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+2.12vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.74-7.78vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.01vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-2.58vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-1.09-3.39vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.87+2.69vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles1.79-17.21vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.43-5.05vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-7.87vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.21-7.60vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.11-5.00vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-3.08-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.72University of California at Berkeley-0.562.0%1st Place
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11.18University of California at San Diego-0.152.4%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.3518.4%1st Place
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8.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.2%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Santa Cruz0.868.1%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.304.7%1st Place
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6.59California Poly Maritime Academy0.868.6%1st Place
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11.87University of California at Los Angeles-0.232.7%1st Place
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8.12University of Southern California0.386.2%1st Place
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17.38University of California at San Diego-1.461.2%1st Place
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15.63University of California at San Diego-1.111.2%1st Place
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17.92San Diego State University-1.650.9%1st Place
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14.7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.981.6%1st Place
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14.57University of California at San Diego-1.001.6%1st Place
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17.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.8%1st Place
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8.22Arizona State University0.745.1%1st Place
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16.99University of California at San Diego-1.411.1%1st Place
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15.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.2%1st Place
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15.61San Diego State University-1.091.5%1st Place
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22.69Arizona State University-2.870.1%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Los Angeles1.7922.1%1st Place
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16.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.431.0%1st Place
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15.13University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.4%1st Place
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16.4Arizona State University-1.211.6%1st Place
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20.0Arizona State University-2.110.4%1st Place
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23.39University of California at San Diego-3.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Chen | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Farago | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Liam Williams | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Adeline Spencer | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Gillian Cate | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 22.8% | 30.8% |
| Grant Janov | 22.1% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| samson grunwald | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| William Bailly | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 9.6% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 18.4% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.