Race 1B

timme-tune-up

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Seago 46.9% 27.1% 12.6% 9.1% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 17.8% 20.7% 20.8% 14.1% 11.3% 8.5% 2.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Meghan Bouman 3.3% 3.4% 6.6% 9.0% 11.5% 10.3% 11.1% 13.3% 12.1% 10.6% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5%
John Hodges 3.3% 5.3% 7.8% 9.1% 10.6% 9.9% 12.2% 10.5% 11.7% 10.9% 6.2% 1.7% 0.8%
Karinne Smolenyak 3.1% 4.3% 5.4% 6.9% 9.2% 8.3% 9.7% 11.7% 14.3% 12.7% 9.9% 3.6% 0.9%
Grant Pollock 7.2% 10.3% 12.5% 13.9% 13.2% 12.9% 10.6% 8.3% 5.4% 3.4% 2.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Ian Norman 7.9% 11.8% 12.1% 14.3% 12.6% 11.0% 11.7% 8.2% 6.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Ryan Mabie 3.0% 5.6% 4.5% 6.8% 8.9% 11.5% 10.8% 12.5% 13.6% 12.3% 6.4% 3.4% 0.7%
Katy Carlyle 0.5% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% 3.8% 4.6% 5.3% 7.5% 17.9% 26.4% 25.5%
Kendall Witmer 1.4% 2.9% 3.6% 4.2% 4.7% 6.8% 8.5% 11.8% 10.5% 16.9% 15.5% 8.6% 4.6%
David Meyerson 4.7% 6.3% 11.1% 8.7% 10.7% 13.1% 13.0% 10.2% 9.8% 6.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Blake Banovitz 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 3.7% 4.0% 5.9% 9.3% 17.1% 26.5% 26.2%
Rebecca Abellera 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 3.8% 7.0% 13.6% 25.4% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.