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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.87+6.35vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.56+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.79+6.31vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.70+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.05+3.45vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.09+1.72vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.74+3.39vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.47-0.51vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.88-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.43+0.82vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-3.21vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07-0.60vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.43+0.92vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.25-0.64vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.83-4.73vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-7.46vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.68-6.65vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-0.27-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Princeton University1.878.6%1st Place
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5.94University of Hawaii1.5610.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Victoria0.794.5%1st Place
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6.2University of Hawaii1.7011.2%1st Place
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8.45University of Hawaii1.056.9%1st Place
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7.72University of Hawaii1.098.1%1st Place
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10.39Arizona State University0.743.7%1st Place
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7.49Hampton University1.477.4%1st Place
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8.58SUNY Stony Brook0.886.3%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Los Angeles0.433.1%1st Place
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7.79Salve Regina University1.318.1%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Davis0.072.5%1st Place
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13.92University of British Columbia-0.431.6%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Berkeley-0.251.8%1st Place
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10.27Salve Regina University0.834.0%1st Place
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8.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.136.2%1st Place
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10.35University of California at San Diego0.684.2%1st Place
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13.11University of Victoria-0.271.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Sargent | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Owen Lahr | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Morgan Carew | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| kai rauch | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Zach Thompson | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 26.2% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 20.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Noah Barton | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Maya Gray | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.