Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Oltrogge 16.8% 21.6% 19.6% 15.3% 12.3% 7.3% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Seago 49.5% 26.8% 12.7% 6.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Hodges 3.2% 4.3% 7.3% 9.6% 10.5% 10.3% 11.3% 14.1% 11.1% 9.7% 5.5% 2.5% 0.6%
Meghan Bouman 3.4% 5.2% 6.4% 7.7% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 12.7% 10.7% 5.8% 2.7% 0.6%
Ian Norman 7.2% 12.4% 13.8% 13.5% 13.2% 13.0% 9.5% 7.8% 5.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Karinne Smolenyak 2.6% 4.1% 6.4% 6.7% 7.7% 10.6% 11.0% 11.1% 11.0% 14.0% 9.2% 4.7% 0.9%
Ryan Mabie 3.5% 5.0% 6.6% 7.9% 8.5% 9.4% 11.0% 11.1% 12.7% 12.0% 8.5% 2.9% 0.9%
Grant Pollock 7.1% 10.1% 12.4% 13.5% 13.7% 12.4% 12.9% 7.9% 5.8% 2.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Rebecca Abellera 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 3.4% 6.0% 12.8% 21.8% 43.7%
Kendall Witmer 1.7% 2.8% 3.7% 4.0% 4.8% 7.5% 8.8% 9.2% 13.7% 15.7% 12.8% 11.3% 4.0%
Katy Carlyle 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 3.8% 4.5% 6.8% 8.4% 20.6% 25.7% 21.6%
David Meyerson 3.7% 5.5% 7.9% 11.0% 10.3% 10.3% 11.5% 13.6% 11.6% 8.6% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
Blake Banovitz 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 0.9% 2.7% 3.1% 4.0% 4.2% 9.9% 18.1% 26.3% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.