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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.70+5.02vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.56+3.88vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.87+4.37vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+4.81vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+2.69vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.09+1.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.43+3.97vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.47-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.68+1.15vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.88-1.29vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.79-1.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07-0.58vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13-4.40vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.83-3.72vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.25-1.86vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.74-5.53vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia-0.43-3.21vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-0.27-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02University of Hawaii1.7012.4%1st Place
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5.88University of Hawaii1.5610.5%1st Place
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7.37Princeton University1.878.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Hawaii1.055.7%1st Place
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7.69Salve Regina University1.316.5%1st Place
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7.91University of Hawaii1.097.4%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Los Angeles0.433.4%1st Place
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7.41Hampton University1.478.6%1st Place
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10.15University of California at San Diego0.684.0%1st Place
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8.71SUNY Stony Brook0.885.7%1st Place
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9.17University of Victoria0.794.8%1st Place
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11.42University of California at Davis0.073.2%1st Place
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8.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.3%1st Place
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10.28Salve Regina University0.834.6%1st Place
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13.14University of California at Berkeley-0.251.8%1st Place
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10.47Arizona State University0.744.7%1st Place
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13.79University of British Columbia-0.431.8%1st Place
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13.24University of Victoria-0.271.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Lahr | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Carew | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Noah Barton | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| kai rauch | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Kate Sargent | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 19.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Zach Thompson | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 26.8% |
| Maya Gray | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.