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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.01+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02-0.11vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.47+3.59vs Predicted
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4Purdue University1.14+1.05vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.34+1.90vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.53+0.36vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.32+3.31vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.46+2.67vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.68-2.84vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.21-2.80vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-1.33-0.64vs Predicted
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13University of Iowa-1.70-1.82vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.20-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Minnesota2.010.2%1st Place
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1.89University of Michigan3.020.5%1st Place
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6.59Marquette University0.470.0%1st Place
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5.05Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.9Western Michigan University0.340.0%1st Place
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6.36Northwestern University0.530.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Michigan-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Wisconsin0.680.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Michigan0.210.0%1st Place
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10.36Lake Forest College-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.18University of Iowa-1.700.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Wisconsin1.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 15.7% | 23.6% | 21.7% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 51.7% | 25.1% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Bouman | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Grant Pollock | 6.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mabie | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| John Hodges | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katy Carlyle | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 23.1% | 17.8% |
| Andrew Roth | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 23.6% | 24.5% |
| David Meyerson | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Karinne Smolenyak | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Blake Banovitz | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 21.7% | 18.0% |
| Rebecca Abellera | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 21.5% | 37.8% |
| Ian Norman | 6.3% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.