Race 4B

timme-tune-up

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Seago 47.7% 28.4% 12.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 17.8% 20.7% 22.6% 14.7% 11.7% 6.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Pollock 5.7% 9.7% 14.3% 13.4% 13.5% 14.7% 11.4% 8.3% 5.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Norman 7.0% 11.1% 13.5% 14.9% 14.8% 12.3% 9.6% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Meghan Bouman 4.3% 5.6% 7.1% 9.4% 10.1% 10.1% 12.4% 13.6% 12.8% 8.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.2%
David Meyerson 4.4% 7.0% 8.7% 11.0% 13.1% 11.2% 12.8% 10.8% 10.4% 6.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Ryan Mabie 4.5% 5.0% 5.8% 7.4% 10.2% 10.7% 11.1% 14.3% 13.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.0% 0.2%
Karinne Smolenyak 3.2% 4.4% 5.0% 7.9% 7.1% 9.4% 12.6% 14.3% 14.0% 12.3% 6.5% 2.9% 0.4%
John Hodges 3.3% 5.7% 7.0% 8.7% 9.1% 14.7% 13.0% 12.4% 11.0% 9.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3%
Katy Carlyle 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 2.5% 2.7% 3.6% 3.7% 6.9% 12.5% 21.3% 21.9% 20.2%
Andrew Roth 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.8% 4.4% 8.1% 13.6% 18.9% 22.9% 21.0%
Blake Banovitz 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 5.2% 6.9% 12.6% 18.4% 23.9% 21.6%
Rebecca Abellera 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 0.7% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 5.0% 9.9% 15.9% 22.5% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.