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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.87+6.31vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+5.57vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.83+7.31vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.70+2.34vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.09+2.69vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.560.00vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.05+1.61vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+0.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.43+1.99vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.68-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.07+0.58vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.79-2.81vs Predicted
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13Hampton University1.47-5.46vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.43-0.06vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.25-2.00vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.74-5.56vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.88-8.46vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-0.27-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Princeton University1.877.9%1st Place
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7.57Salve Regina University1.318.8%1st Place
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10.31Salve Regina University0.834.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Hawaii1.709.5%1st Place
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7.69University of Hawaii1.098.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Hawaii1.5612.2%1st Place
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8.61University of Hawaii1.056.5%1st Place
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8.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.136.4%1st Place
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10.99University of California at Los Angeles0.433.4%1st Place
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9.83University of California at San Diego0.684.1%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Davis0.072.8%1st Place
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9.19University of Victoria0.795.1%1st Place
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7.54Hampton University1.476.8%1st Place
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13.94University of British Columbia-0.431.6%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Berkeley-0.251.8%1st Place
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10.44Arizona State University0.744.0%1st Place
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8.54SUNY Stony Brook0.885.3%1st Place
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13.41University of Victoria-0.271.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Owen Lahr | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Carew | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Trey Summers | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Noah Barton | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% |
| Kate Sargent | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Zach Thompson | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 27.1% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 20.3% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| kai rauch | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Maya Gray | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.