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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+9.32vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+7.41vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.91+6.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+3.12vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28+3.08vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71+0.27vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.35+0.69vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-1.01vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.83-2.97vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.34vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.10-5.94vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.82-2.20vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.51-6.18vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.43-2.47vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.83-4.97vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.87-6.08vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.11-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.4Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.27College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.69Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.06Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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10.8Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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12.53Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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10.92Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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13.52Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Kayla McComb | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 16.0% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.