Race 6A

rainier-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Craig Emmes 5.9% 8.8% 6.4% 8.6% 10.0% 9.9% 11.3% 11.0% 11.0% 9.3% 6.5% 1.3%
Carmen Bozina 5.2% 7.3% 7.1% 9.4% 9.2% 8.9% 9.6% 11.2% 11.7% 11.2% 7.1% 2.1%
Mickail Murawski 8.5% 6.8% 8.0% 8.5% 8.7% 12.1% 10.7% 10.0% 11.8% 8.5% 5.3% 1.1%
Felipe Lopez 23.5% 22.5% 16.5% 13.0% 8.8% 6.2% 4.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Logan Swartz 7.5% 8.6% 9.9% 10.2% 10.9% 9.3% 11.0% 9.2% 8.8% 7.9% 5.6% 1.1%
Hannah Darrin 18.9% 17.0% 16.6% 12.1% 9.4% 10.3% 5.9% 5.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Wien 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 8.4% 7.4% 9.7% 8.1% 9.4% 11.9% 12.6% 10.7% 4.8%
Bryan Rust 10.0% 8.0% 11.2% 8.4% 11.0% 9.4% 9.8% 10.8% 8.5% 7.5% 3.8% 1.6%
Mike Knape 2.8% 3.6% 5.3% 6.9% 8.0% 7.1% 9.3% 10.1% 11.9% 13.8% 15.9% 5.3%
Katherine Stephens 9.0% 8.7% 10.2% 10.2% 10.3% 10.6% 11.5% 10.1% 7.6% 6.4% 4.4% 1.0%
Aike Burger 2.8% 1.9% 2.1% 2.7% 4.4% 5.2% 5.6% 7.8% 10.0% 14.2% 24.5% 18.8%
Robert Sarkissian 0.6% 1.3% 0.5% 1.6% 1.9% 1.3% 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 6.3% 16.0% 62.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.