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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+8.24vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+6.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+5.39vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+2.76vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+2.21vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+2.07vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91+3.62vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.83+2.83vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-3.29vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82+1.27vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.13vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-1.46vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.43-0.63vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-3.77vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-4.24vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.35-7.18vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.74-9.76vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.11-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.24Georgetown University3.280.0%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.21College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.62Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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5.71Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.27Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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12.37Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.76Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.82Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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13.55Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 16.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Mary Hall | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.