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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+10.16vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.93vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.35+6.05vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+4.96vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+5.06vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+0.78vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48+1.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.94vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-1.84vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-1.65vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.51-2.70vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.11vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.82-2.14vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.91-3.70vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.83-4.11vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-3.33vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.11-3.21vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.87-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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5.93Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.05Cornell University3.350.0%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.86Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.3Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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12.67Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.79Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.62Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Mary Hall | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 17.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 27.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.