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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+6.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+5.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+5.31vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+6.74vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.36vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+0.70vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91+3.54vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.85vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.51-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.83+1.19vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.11+2.67vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43+0.81vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-4.46vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-6.29vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.87-4.32vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-5.87vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.28-7.85vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.74-11.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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7.3Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.74Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.54Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.0Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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13.67Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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12.81Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.54Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.68Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.15Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 27.4% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 19.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Mary Hall | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.