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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.99+5.31vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.06vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.72+3.16vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.27-2.00vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.19+3.80vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.66+0.47vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.84-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.60+2.73vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97-2.09vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+1.29vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.01+0.82vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+0.65vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.18-0.72vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.15-4.52vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii-0.63-4.32vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-4.11vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-2.40-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31University of Hawaii0.996.2%1st Place
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3.06University of Hawaii2.4126.2%1st Place
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6.16Hampton University0.727.5%1st Place
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5.81Salve Regina University0.467.5%1st Place
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3.0University of Hawaii2.2725.4%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Davis-0.192.1%1st Place
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7.47Arizona State University0.664.8%1st Place
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6.44Princeton University0.847.0%1st Place
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11.73University of California at Berkeley-0.601.2%1st Place
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7.91Salve Regina University0.974.5%1st Place
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12.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.680.9%1st Place
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12.82University of Victoria-1.011.4%1st Place
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13.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.5%1st Place
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13.28University of Victoria-1.181.1%1st Place
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10.48University of California at San Diego-0.151.5%1st Place
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11.68University of Hawaii-0.631.2%1st Place
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12.89University of California at Los Angeles-1.030.8%1st Place
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16.23University of British Columbia-2.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 26.2% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 25.4% | 25.1% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tessa Greene | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Guillaume Claude | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 7.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 11.5% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 9.6% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| katherine shofran | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 2.8% |
| samson grunwald | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 6.5% |
| Angela Ying | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.