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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.22vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+5.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+6.81vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+5.34vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.94vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35+1.68vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.11vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.91+1.57vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.43+2.76vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-3.85vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.71-4.48vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-2.45vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.28-5.36vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.02-4.94vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.48-7.83vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.83-5.98vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.11-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.81Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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10.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.68Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.57Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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12.76Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.15Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.52College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.55Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.64Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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13.55Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 18.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.