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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+2.07vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.60+8.41vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.99+1.23vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.84+0.58vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.72-0.66vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.97-0.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.19+0.78vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.66-2.61vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+1.35vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.18+1.32vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.15-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii-0.63-2.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-2.19vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-2.16vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia-2.40-0.67vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-1.01-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07University of Hawaii2.2725.0%1st Place
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3.03University of Hawaii2.4126.2%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Berkeley-0.601.9%1st Place
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5.96Salve Regina University0.467.8%1st Place
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6.23University of Hawaii0.996.2%1st Place
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6.58Princeton University0.846.3%1st Place
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6.34Hampton University0.727.0%1st Place
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7.83Salve Regina University0.974.7%1st Place
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9.78University of California at Davis-0.191.7%1st Place
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7.39Arizona State University0.664.7%1st Place
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12.35SUNY Stony Brook-0.681.1%1st Place
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13.32University of Victoria-1.180.9%1st Place
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10.24University of California at San Diego-0.152.2%1st Place
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11.76University of Hawaii-0.631.1%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Los Angeles-1.031.2%1st Place
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13.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.6%1st Place
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16.33University of British Columbia-2.400.3%1st Place
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12.75University of Victoria-1.011.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 25.0% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 26.2% | 23.9% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tessa Greene | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 8.2% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| katherine shofran | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| samson grunwald | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 6.7% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 12.3% |
| Angela Ying | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 56.0% |
| Guillaume Claude | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.