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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+7.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.97vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+4.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+6.40vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+2.71vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43+6.09vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91+3.18vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-0.26vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+1.03vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.35-1.41vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-4.45vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-1.96vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.71-6.21vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.74-7.49vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.52vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.40-3.68vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.70-2.30vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.11-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.4Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.71Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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12.09Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.18Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
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8.59Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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6.79College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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6.51Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.32Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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14.7University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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13.14Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Mary Hall | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Rachel Austin | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.5% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 36.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.