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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.01vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.99+2.36vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.84+1.55vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97+2.13vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.66+0.54vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.72-1.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.19+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+3.44vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+3.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.15-1.27vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii-0.63-1.09vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.18-0.33vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-2.67vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia-0.97-2.90vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria-1.01-3.75vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.60-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Hawaii2.2725.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Hawaii2.4126.5%1st Place
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5.96Salve Regina University0.467.3%1st Place
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6.36University of Hawaii0.996.8%1st Place
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6.55Princeton University0.846.9%1st Place
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8.13Salve Regina University0.973.6%1st Place
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7.54Arizona State University0.665.3%1st Place
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6.33Hampton University0.727.0%1st Place
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9.78University of California at Davis-0.192.8%1st Place
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13.44University of California at Los Angeles-1.030.9%1st Place
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14.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.7%1st Place
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10.73University of California at San Diego-0.151.6%1st Place
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11.91University of Hawaii-0.631.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Victoria-1.180.8%1st Place
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12.33SUNY Stony Brook-0.681.1%1st Place
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13.1University of British Columbia-0.971.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Victoria-1.010.5%1st Place
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11.8University of California at Berkeley-0.601.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 25.1% | 22.9% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 26.5% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| samson grunwald | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.8% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 22.7% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| katherine shofran | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 16.1% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Jamie Kim | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% |
| Guillaume Claude | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.4% |
| Tessa Greene | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.