← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.27+2.10vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Davis-0.19+7.90vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.41+0.05vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University0.97+4.02vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.46+1.05vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University0.84+0.67vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+5.43vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University0.66-0.61vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii-0.63+3.01vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii0.99-3.57vs Predicted
-
11University of Victoria-1.01+2.08vs Predicted
-
12University of Victoria-1.18+1.66vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-0.15-2.34vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+0.30vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University0.72-8.74vs Predicted
-
16University of British Columbia-0.97-3.00vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-3.76vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley-0.60-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.1University of Hawaii2.2725.7%1st Place
-
9.9University of California at Davis-0.192.6%1st Place
-
3.05University of Hawaii2.4125.9%1st Place
-
8.02Salve Regina University0.973.0%1st Place
-
6.05Salve Regina University0.467.5%1st Place
-
6.67Princeton University0.846.4%1st Place
-
12.43SUNY Stony Brook-0.681.1%1st Place
-
7.39Arizona State University0.665.8%1st Place
-
12.01University of Hawaii-0.631.6%1st Place
-
6.43University of Hawaii0.996.8%1st Place
-
13.08University of Victoria-1.010.8%1st Place
-
13.66University of Victoria-1.180.8%1st Place
-
10.66University of California at San Diego-0.151.9%1st Place
-
14.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.5%1st Place
-
6.26Hampton University0.726.7%1st Place
-
13.0University of British Columbia-0.970.7%1st Place
-
13.24University of California at Los Angeles-1.030.9%1st Place
-
11.75University of California at Berkeley-0.601.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 25.7% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 25.9% | 22.9% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| katherine shofran | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Guillaume Claude | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 18.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 22.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Kim | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% |
| samson grunwald | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% |
| Tessa Greene | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.