← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.01+3.98vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.50+4.68vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami1.97+9.79vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.40+6.74vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.01+3.28vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University1.30+8.67vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.92vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.98+0.45vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.32vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.23-2.23vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-4.34vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.71-2.05vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.23-1.58vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.85-5.26vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.43-0.68vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.47-5.30vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University2.97-8.27vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.98Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
6.68Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
12.79University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
-
10.74College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
-
8.28Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
14.67Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
8.92U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
8.45Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.77Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.95Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
11.42University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
8.74Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
14.32Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
-
10.7Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
-
8.73Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hernandez | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 10.9% |
| Carly Shevitz | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 33.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Madeleine Sims | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 28.6% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.