← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University0.72+4.94vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.99+4.01vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.27-0.05vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.41-1.02vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University0.66+2.19vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.46-0.29vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University0.97+0.72vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University0.84-1.66vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+4.01vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii-0.63+1.15vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.57vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-0.22-2.18vs Predicted
-
13University of Victoria-1.18-0.25vs Predicted
-
14University of Victoria-1.01-1.42vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-0.58-2.61vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-2.64vs Predicted
-
17University of British Columbia-2.40-0.98vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-1.72-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.94Hampton University0.726.6%1st Place
-
6.01University of Hawaii0.997.5%1st Place
-
2.95University of Hawaii2.2725.9%1st Place
-
2.98University of Hawaii2.4127.5%1st Place
-
7.19Arizona State University0.664.5%1st Place
-
5.71Salve Regina University0.467.5%1st Place
-
7.72Salve Regina University0.973.5%1st Place
-
6.34Princeton University0.846.5%1st Place
-
13.01University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.1%1st Place
-
11.15University of Hawaii-0.631.1%1st Place
-
10.43SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.7%1st Place
-
9.82University of California at Berkeley-0.222.2%1st Place
-
12.75University of Victoria-1.180.9%1st Place
-
12.58University of Victoria-1.011.1%1st Place
-
12.39University of California at Davis-0.580.9%1st Place
-
13.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.9%1st Place
-
16.02University of British Columbia-2.400.1%1st Place
-
14.65University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 25.9% | 23.8% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 27.5% | 21.1% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 6.3% |
| katherine shofran | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| Guillaume Claude | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 8.8% |
| Angela Ying | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 46.8% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.