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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.27+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+4.01vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+4.63vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72+2.08vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46+0.71vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.84+0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.41-4.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.22+1.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.58+3.36vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.01+2.44vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+0.86vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii-0.63-1.58vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.66-6.99vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-1.70vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-1.18-3.01vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia-2.40-0.99vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.72-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98University of Hawaii2.2725.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Hawaii0.997.6%1st Place
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7.63Salve Regina University0.974.2%1st Place
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6.08Hampton University0.726.8%1st Place
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5.71Salve Regina University0.467.0%1st Place
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6.45Princeton University0.846.3%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii2.4127.3%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Berkeley-0.222.1%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Davis-0.581.1%1st Place
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12.44University of Victoria-1.011.1%1st Place
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10.17SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.8%1st Place
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12.86University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Hawaii-0.631.6%1st Place
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7.01Arizona State University0.665.1%1st Place
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13.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.9%1st Place
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12.99University of Victoria-1.180.8%1st Place
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16.01University of British Columbia-2.400.2%1st Place
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14.65University of California at San Diego-1.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 25.1% | 24.6% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 27.3% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Guillaume Claude | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 6.2% |
| katherine shofran | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 8.5% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Angela Ying | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 45.8% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.