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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.75vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+5.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+5.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+0.72vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.47+5.42vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+3.03vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.40+3.91vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+2.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.17vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-1.26vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.43+3.40vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-3.15vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.36vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.23-2.74vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.97-2.56vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.29-8.73vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-2.17vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.71-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.55Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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4.72Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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10.42Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.03Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.91College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.74Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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14.4Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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7.27Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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14.83Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.41Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.5% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Carly Shevitz | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Liana Folger | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Madeleine Sims | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 30.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
| Laura Hernandez | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.0% |
| Emily Billing | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 35.6% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.