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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington3.09+2.35vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.49+5.25vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.81+0.85vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University2.02-0.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.99-2.12vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University2.05-3.24vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon1.84-3.80vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.29-0.32vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.99-7.26vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University0.76-5.12vs Predicted
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15University of Puget Sound1.26-7.06vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.72-9.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of Washington3.090.2%1st Place
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7.25Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
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3.85University of Washington2.810.2%1st Place
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5.86Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.990.1%1st Place
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5.76Western Washington University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.2University of Oregon1.840.1%1st Place
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10.68University of Victoria-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.1%1st Place
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8.88Oregon State University0.760.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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6.62University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Lopez | 24.7% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wien | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
| Hannah Darrin | 19.9% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Logan Swartz | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Stephens | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Craig Emmes | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Robert Sarkissian | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 60.3% |
| Andrew Cowley | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Aike Burger | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 25.2% | 17.5% |
| Mike Knape | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 8.5% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.