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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.27+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.06+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.99+2.34vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.84+1.61vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72+0.22vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97+0.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.58+4.59vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+3.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.20vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.66-3.51vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.18+0.93vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-7.03vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95-0.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-1.80vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-1.01-3.25vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.23vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-2.40-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Hawaii2.4125.4%1st Place
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3.12University of Hawaii2.2725.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Hawaii1.067.8%1st Place
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6.34University of Hawaii0.995.4%1st Place
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6.61Princeton University0.846.4%1st Place
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6.22Hampton University0.727.1%1st Place
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7.95Salve Regina University0.974.0%1st Place
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12.59University of California at Davis-0.581.0%1st Place
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12.0SUNY Stony Brook-0.580.9%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Berkeley-0.221.9%1st Place
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7.49Arizona State University0.664.7%1st Place
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12.93University of Victoria-1.181.1%1st Place
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5.97Salve Regina University0.467.0%1st Place
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13.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.5%1st Place
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13.2University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.8%1st Place
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12.75University of Victoria-1.010.7%1st Place
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14.77University of California at San Diego-1.720.2%1st Place
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16.09University of British Columbia-2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 25.4% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 25.1% | 22.9% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Salas | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Magill | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 8.2% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Guillaume Claude | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 20.8% |
| Angela Ying | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 16.2% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.