← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.23+6.72vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+7.13vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.01+1.80vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.71+5.49vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.74vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+0.54vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.97+1.51vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.01+0.25vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.98-0.59vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.29-2.47vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College2.47-0.30vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami1.97+0.83vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.23-1.61vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University1.43+0.03vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.85-6.05vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University1.30-1.21vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston2.40-6.00vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.72Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
9.13U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
-
4.8Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
9.49Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
6.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.51Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.25Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
8.41Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
7.53Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
-
10.7Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
-
12.83University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
-
11.39University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
14.03Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
-
8.95Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
14.79Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
11.0College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
-
10.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Emily Billing | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Laura Hernandez | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Madeleine Sims | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 27.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 17.3% | 35.0% |
| Carly Shevitz | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Liana Folger | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.