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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+5.00vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.27+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.41+0.07vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72+2.26vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.06+1.28vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.84+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.99-0.69vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.66-0.52vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97-1.17vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.01+2.83vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.95+2.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.22-1.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.58-0.49vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-1.89vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-1.18-1.98vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-2.85vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.37vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-2.40-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Salve Regina University0.467.7%1st Place
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3.01University of Hawaii2.2726.4%1st Place
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3.07University of Hawaii2.4125.7%1st Place
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6.26Hampton University0.726.7%1st Place
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6.28University of Hawaii1.065.8%1st Place
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6.67Princeton University0.845.7%1st Place
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6.31University of Hawaii0.996.2%1st Place
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7.48Arizona State University0.665.1%1st Place
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7.83Salve Regina University0.974.1%1st Place
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12.83University of Victoria-1.010.9%1st Place
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13.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.950.4%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Berkeley-0.222.0%1st Place
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12.51University of California at Davis-0.581.0%1st Place
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12.11SUNY Stony Brook-0.580.7%1st Place
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13.02University of Victoria-1.180.7%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.5%1st Place
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14.63University of California at San Diego-1.720.4%1st Place
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16.0University of British Columbia-2.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 26.4% | 22.4% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 25.7% | 22.3% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Salas | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Guillaume Claude | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 4.9% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 9.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Magill | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 6.3% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 20.0% | 20.6% |
| Angela Ying | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.