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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+3.87vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+5.66vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.23+8.76vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+3.15vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+5.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.90vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-0.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.97+3.51vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.71-0.20vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.40-0.05vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-2.65vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.47-2.62vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.43vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.01-6.69vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-7.40vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.43-2.56vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.15Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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12.51University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.95College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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9.35Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.38Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.31Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.6Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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14.44Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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14.54Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 15.7% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Emily Billing | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Liana Folger | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Laura Hernandez | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 11.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Carly Shevitz | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Madeleine Sims | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 29.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.