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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+3.89vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+7.86vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+3.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.76vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+2.42vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+2.54vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.97+5.54vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.31vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.47+1.57vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-1.42vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-0.52vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.43+2.59vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.98-4.60vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.29-7.05vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.30-0.38vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.23-4.37vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.40-6.03vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.85-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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9.86Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.57Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.58Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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14.59Fordham University1.430.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.95Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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14.62Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.97College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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8.83Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Laura Hernandez | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 10.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Liana Folger | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Madeleine Sims | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 17.7% | 31.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Billing | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 18.5% | 31.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Carly Shevitz | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.