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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.58+6.77vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.09+3.68vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+5.63vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+2.32vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+0.61vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.86-0.41vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.60-0.74vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.34-0.34vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.79-3.25vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-2.47vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University0.04+1.29vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.38-1.02vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.74-2.51vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.84-4.68vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.17-2.96vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.60-2.09vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.81-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77University of Vermont1.587.4%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University2.0911.9%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.665.6%1st Place
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6.32North Carolina State University1.789.3%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.5%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Santa Barbara1.4410.5%1st Place
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6.59George Washington University1.868.7%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University1.607.1%1st Place
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8.66Eckerd College1.344.5%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Los Angeles1.798.3%1st Place
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8.53Palm Beach Atlantic University1.266.1%1st Place
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13.29Oregon State University0.041.5%1st Place
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11.98University of Southern California0.382.2%1st Place
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11.49Arizona State University0.743.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Hawaii0.843.2%1st Place
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13.04Northwestern University0.171.4%1st Place
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14.91University of California at Berkeley-0.600.8%1st Place
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15.47Santa Clara University-0.810.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connell Phillipps | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Edward Cook | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larson | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Owen Timms | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| matthew Monts | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Grant Janov | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Green | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Liam Brinton | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 10.4% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.7% |
| Tessa Greene | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 21.6% | 29.1% |
| will dimaio | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 19.1% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.