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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.09+4.66vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.58+5.74vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.60+4.30vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.86+2.95vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34+3.64vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.79+0.62vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.78-0.57vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-2.24vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-1.50vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.84-0.89vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-0.81+3.52vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.74-1.47vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.38-2.19vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.17-2.02vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University0.04-2.75vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.60-2.05vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Georgetown University2.0913.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont1.586.8%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University1.607.5%1st Place
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6.95George Washington University1.868.4%1st Place
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8.64Eckerd College1.344.7%1st Place
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6.62University of California at Los Angeles1.799.7%1st Place
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6.43North Carolina State University1.789.0%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.5%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.8%1st Place
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8.5Palm Beach Atlantic University1.265.6%1st Place
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10.11University of Hawaii0.843.6%1st Place
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15.52Santa Clara University-0.810.4%1st Place
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11.53Arizona State University0.742.4%1st Place
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11.81University of Southern California0.382.5%1st Place
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12.98Northwestern University0.171.3%1st Place
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13.25Oregon State University0.041.5%1st Place
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14.95University of California at Berkeley-0.601.0%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.665.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Owen Timms | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| matthew Monts | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Grant Janov | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Green | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| will dimaio | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 19.0% | 39.6% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 9.7% |
| Liam Brinton | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 11.9% |
| Tessa Greene | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 22.0% | 27.7% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.