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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.77vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.92vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+5.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+3.49vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29+2.25vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.97+6.55vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+3.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.23+3.52vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.71+0.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.79vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.47-0.26vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-3.07vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.40-2.24vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-5.21vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.30-0.32vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.72-2.46vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.01-8.44vs Predicted
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18Boston College4.01-13.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.25Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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12.55University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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10.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.59Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.74Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.93Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.76College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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8.79Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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14.68Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.54Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.56Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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4.6Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Emily Billing | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Laura Hernandez | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.0% |
| Liana Folger | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 6.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Carly Shevitz | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 34.7% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 20.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.3% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.