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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.09+4.33vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.30vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.34+5.18vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.58+3.32vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.60+2.04vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.86+0.32vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.78-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-1.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.42+1.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.60+3.77vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.84-1.98vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-0.01-0.07vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-5.70vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.17-2.30vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.74-4.91vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University0.04-4.16vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.81-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Georgetown University2.0912.2%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.1%1st Place
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8.18Eckerd College1.346.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Vermont1.586.9%1st Place
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7.04Roger Williams University1.608.6%1st Place
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6.32George Washington University1.8611.5%1st Place
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6.0North Carolina State University1.7810.7%1st Place
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6.31University of California at Santa Barbara1.448.6%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Los Angeles1.306.9%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.422.4%1st Place
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14.77University of California at Berkeley-0.601.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Hawaii0.843.8%1st Place
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12.93University of Southern California-0.011.7%1st Place
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8.3Palm Beach Atlantic University1.266.0%1st Place
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12.7Northwestern University0.171.7%1st Place
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11.09Arizona State University0.742.5%1st Place
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12.84Oregon State University0.041.8%1st Place
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15.2Santa Clara University-0.810.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| matthew Monts | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Owen Timms | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Farrell | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Tessa Greene | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 21.3% | 27.4% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Eleanor Desai | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% |
| Thomas Green | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Liam Brinton | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.3% |
| will dimaio | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.