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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.71+8.83vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+6.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+5.73vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.47+6.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.88vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.23+5.58vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+0.51vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.31vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-0.63vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.29-2.45vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.97+1.70vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.10vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.74vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.30+0.48vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-6.03vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.72-2.40vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.40-5.90vs Predicted
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18Boston College4.01-13.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.83Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.82Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.48Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.37Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.55Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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12.7University of Miami1.970.0%1st Place
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6.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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14.48Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.97Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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13.6Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.1College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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4.56Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Amy Baxter | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 4.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Emily Billing | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Laura Hernandez | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 14.4% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Liana Folger | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 34.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 19.9% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.5% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.