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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo2.44+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+1.05vs Predicted
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3Bates College2.43+1.20vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.53-0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.72-1.49vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.83+1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago1.00-0.03vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.16-1.42vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University1.36-2.76vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University1.36-3.76vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-0.61-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Michigan3.020.3%1st Place
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4.2Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Wisconsin2.720.2%1st Place
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7.21Purdue University0.830.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Chicago1.000.0%1st Place
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6.58Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.24Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.24Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Toledo-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Orr | 14.3% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 25.6% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 14.2% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 18.0% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 24.0% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 22.3% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Frissell | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 13.8% | 68.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.