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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.09+4.30vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.11vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.60+4.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.77vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34+3.08vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.58+1.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-0.64vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.86-1.59vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74+2.05vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.84+0.07vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University0.04+1.94vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-5.88vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.42-1.54vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-5.67vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.17-2.26vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-0.81-0.77vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California-0.01-4.06vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.60-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Georgetown University2.0913.7%1st Place
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7.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.767.9%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University1.607.5%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Los Angeles1.306.3%1st Place
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8.08Eckerd College1.346.8%1st Place
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7.33University of Vermont1.587.2%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.2%1st Place
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6.41George Washington University1.868.9%1st Place
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11.05Arizona State University0.743.2%1st Place
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10.07University of Hawaii0.844.2%1st Place
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12.94Oregon State University0.041.9%1st Place
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6.12North Carolina State University1.7810.3%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.422.1%1st Place
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8.33Palm Beach Atlantic University1.265.3%1st Place
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12.74Northwestern University0.171.4%1st Place
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15.23Santa Clara University-0.810.8%1st Place
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12.94University of Southern California-0.012.1%1st Place
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14.67University of California at Berkeley-0.600.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| matthew Monts | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Timms | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Liam Brinton | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 9.7% |
| Adam Larson | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Farrell | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| Thomas Green | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 9.1% |
| will dimaio | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 36.1% |
| Eleanor Desai | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 8.7% |
| Tessa Greene | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.