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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.09+4.51vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.60+5.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.44+3.36vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+3.30vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.86+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.81vs Predicted
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7Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26+1.26vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.78-2.05vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74+2.29vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.58-2.65vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.84-0.96vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.34-3.86vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University0.04-0.10vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.42-2.42vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.17-2.31vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-0.81-0.84vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.20-4.44vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.60-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Georgetown University2.0912.7%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University1.606.8%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.449.4%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.3%1st Place
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6.38George Washington University1.8610.1%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Los Angeles1.305.8%1st Place
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8.26Palm Beach Atlantic University1.266.0%1st Place
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5.95North Carolina State University1.7810.4%1st Place
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11.29Arizona State University0.743.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Vermont1.587.6%1st Place
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10.04University of Hawaii0.844.1%1st Place
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8.14Eckerd College1.346.0%1st Place
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12.9Oregon State University0.041.7%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.422.4%1st Place
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12.69Northwestern University0.171.9%1st Place
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15.16Santa Clara University-0.811.1%1st Place
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12.56University of Southern California0.201.6%1st Place
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14.73University of California at Berkeley-0.601.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ted McDonough | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Owen Timms | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Green | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Adam Larson | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| matthew Monts | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Liam Brinton | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 9.2% |
| Jack Farrell | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 8.4% |
| will dimaio | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 38.0% |
| Jackson McKinley | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 6.1% |
| Tessa Greene | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 19.9% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.