Race 2A

timme-angsten-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Drake Lundeen 16.0% 15.6% 16.0% 13.6% 12.8% 12.1% 8.4% 3.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Seago 24.9% 21.8% 16.7% 14.1% 11.0% 6.0% 4.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 12.7% 14.6% 12.9% 14.1% 16.2% 13.8% 8.9% 5.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Brendan Boylan 17.8% 18.7% 17.1% 16.5% 11.4% 8.9% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Tommy Holmberg 14.0% 13.0% 15.3% 16.5% 14.7% 11.8% 8.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Phil Holt 3.4% 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 5.6% 9.6% 12.6% 19.5% 24.3% 13.3% 0.0%
Zi Chong Kao 2.5% 2.8% 4.5% 6.3% 5.8% 11.4% 17.2% 19.6% 21.6% 8.3% 0.0%
Bill Weiland 4.3% 5.5% 7.1% 7.5% 11.0% 12.4% 16.2% 17.7% 14.8% 3.5% 0.0%
Travis Cottle 3.7% 3.7% 6.0% 6.2% 9.0% 11.9% 15.0% 19.5% 19.5% 5.5% 0.0%
Bill Weiland 4.3% 5.5% 7.1% 7.5% 11.0% 12.4% 16.2% 17.7% 14.8% 3.5% 0.0%
Eric Frissell 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 2.5% 2.1% 3.6% 6.6% 13.8% 68.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.