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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.09+4.47vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+5.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.71vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+1.98vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34+3.14vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.58+1.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.60+0.03vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+3.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-2.48vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-1.92vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.86-4.47vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.84-2.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.42-1.42vs Predicted
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14Oregon State University0.04-1.02vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.17-2.31vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-0.81-0.63vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California0.20-4.70vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.60-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Georgetown University2.0911.8%1st Place
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7.11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.768.5%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Los Angeles1.306.0%1st Place
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5.98North Carolina State University1.7811.6%1st Place
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8.14Eckerd College1.346.2%1st Place
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7.5University of Vermont1.587.2%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University1.607.4%1st Place
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11.16Arizona State University0.742.9%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.4410.3%1st Place
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8.08Palm Beach Atlantic University1.266.0%1st Place
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6.53George Washington University1.869.3%1st Place
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9.99University of Hawaii0.844.0%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.422.1%1st Place
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12.98Oregon State University0.041.7%1st Place
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12.69Northwestern University0.171.9%1st Place
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15.37Santa Clara University-0.810.7%1st Place
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12.3University of Southern California0.201.8%1st Place
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14.86University of California at Berkeley-0.600.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Ted McDonough | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Green | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Jack Farrell | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Liam Brinton | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 8.3% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 7.6% |
| will dimaio | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 39.1% |
| Jackson McKinley | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 6.1% |
| Tessa Greene | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.