Race 3A

timme-angsten-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Drake Lundeen 16.0% 15.7% 15.3% 14.5% 12.7% 11.7% 7.6% 4.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Brendan Boylan 17.0% 19.9% 16.1% 13.7% 13.9% 10.7% 5.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 13.7% 13.5% 13.1% 14.6% 15.2% 14.4% 9.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Seago 24.7% 19.9% 18.9% 15.2% 11.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Bill Weiland 5.6% 5.1% 6.5% 8.6% 8.0% 11.8% 18.7% 17.3% 14.2% 4.2% 0.0%
Phil Holt 3.8% 3.3% 3.4% 5.6% 4.8% 9.5% 12.4% 19.5% 24.6% 13.1% 0.0%
Tommy Holmberg 11.5% 14.8% 15.7% 14.6% 16.1% 10.6% 10.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Bill Weiland 5.6% 5.1% 6.5% 8.6% 8.0% 11.8% 18.7% 17.3% 14.2% 4.2% 0.0%
Zi Chong Kao 3.2% 3.6% 4.5% 5.8% 7.4% 10.9% 15.0% 20.1% 21.6% 7.9% 0.0%
Travis Cottle 3.8% 3.6% 5.7% 6.0% 9.5% 12.0% 14.3% 20.0% 19.5% 5.6% 0.0%
Eric Frissell 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 1.4% 2.5% 4.1% 6.6% 13.9% 68.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.