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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+1.09vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.36+3.33vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.72-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo2.44-0.92vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.83+0.20vs Predicted
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9Bates College2.43-4.86vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago1.00-3.12vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.16-4.37vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University1.36-5.67vs Predicted
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13University of Toledo-0.61-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of Minnesota2.530.2%1st Place
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3.09University of Michigan3.020.2%1st Place
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6.33Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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3.57University of Wisconsin2.720.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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7.2Purdue University0.830.0%1st Place
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4.14Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Chicago1.000.0%1st Place
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6.63Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.33Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.18University of Toledo-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 16.0% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 24.8% | 21.2% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 17.7% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 13.8% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 25.9% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 21.9% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Frissell | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 67.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.