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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.58+6.78vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+2.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+6.26vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.05+4.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.67+1.36vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.53+1.27vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.90+2.61vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.05+1.02vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-1.00+6.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.48-1.10vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.66-4.76vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-0.67+2.45vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.70-3.27vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-6.29vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.88-0.24vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.21-4.24vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.39-2.92vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-12.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Roger Williams University1.587.2%1st Place
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4.57Georgetown University2.2015.8%1st Place
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9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland0.904.2%1st Place
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8.21University of Vermont1.055.9%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.6710.2%1st Place
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7.27North Carolina State University1.537.7%1st Place
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9.61Eckerd College0.904.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Hawaii1.054.4%1st Place
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15.45Oregon State University-1.000.8%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Los Angeles1.484.3%1st Place
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6.24Northwestern University1.6610.4%1st Place
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14.45Santa Clara University-0.670.9%1st Place
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9.73George Washington University0.703.4%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.4%1st Place
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14.76University of California at Berkeley-0.881.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Southern California0.212.1%1st Place
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14.08Arizona State University-0.390.9%1st Place
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5.84University of California at Santa Barbara1.7810.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Tillson | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 34.9% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Smith | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 22.1% | 18.5% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Emma Snead | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 20.1% | 25.6% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 15.5% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.