Race 8A

rainier-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Felipe Lopez 23.1% 19.3% 17.4% 14.2% 9.4% 7.3% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Hannah Darrin 17.7% 17.3% 16.6% 11.5% 12.1% 8.0% 7.4% 4.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Bryan Rust 9.5% 7.6% 8.9% 8.4% 10.1% 11.1% 12.0% 10.3% 9.2% 7.5% 4.9% 0.5%
Craig Emmes 5.4% 7.3% 8.7% 10.2% 8.8% 10.3% 11.1% 9.8% 11.0% 9.4% 6.1% 1.9%
Logan Swartz 7.6% 9.1% 8.7% 9.3% 11.5% 10.5% 10.3% 9.7% 9.7% 8.0% 4.5% 1.1%
Andrew Wien 4.7% 6.0% 6.4% 6.3% 5.9% 8.3% 10.2% 9.9% 12.8% 11.7% 13.4% 4.4%
Aike Burger 2.7% 3.1% 2.7% 2.9% 4.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.4% 9.7% 13.1% 24.9% 17.3%
Andrew Cowley 9.6% 8.8% 9.1% 10.5% 10.6% 8.7% 9.3% 11.1% 9.7% 6.8% 4.6% 1.2%
Katherine Stephens 7.9% 9.7% 10.1% 11.4% 11.0% 12.0% 9.5% 9.0% 8.6% 7.1% 3.0% 0.7%
Mike Knape 4.4% 4.1% 5.4% 4.7% 6.7% 7.1% 7.3% 9.7% 11.5% 16.0% 15.7% 7.4%
Robert Sarkissian 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.7% 3.0% 3.5% 6.4% 15.4% 62.6%
Carmen Bozina 6.1% 6.7% 5.4% 9.5% 8.2% 10.1% 9.8% 12.8% 9.7% 11.9% 7.0% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.