← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tommy Holmberg 13.3% 13.1% 13.1% 13.3% 12.5% 13.1% 12.1% 6.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Seago 22.6% 19.9% 16.1% 15.6% 11.0% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Drake Lundeen 13.7% 12.8% 13.3% 13.0% 15.5% 14.5% 9.9% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Cornew 10.9% 13.1% 13.8% 13.1% 13.0% 14.2% 10.9% 7.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Brendan Boylan 15.9% 18.1% 16.6% 15.5% 12.2% 8.7% 7.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 14.6% 12.9% 12.2% 13.8% 14.1% 11.7% 10.4% 8.1% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Bill Weiland 3.2% 3.8% 6.2% 6.6% 8.8% 12.2% 16.4% 20.7% 17.3% 4.8% 0.0%
Zi Chong Kao 2.8% 3.2% 4.2% 4.8% 6.2% 9.3% 12.4% 19.7% 27.9% 9.5% 0.0%
Phil Holt 2.3% 2.5% 3.9% 3.5% 5.2% 7.2% 12.4% 19.4% 30.5% 13.1% 0.0%
Bill Weiland 3.2% 3.8% 6.2% 6.6% 8.8% 12.2% 16.4% 20.7% 17.3% 4.8% 0.0%
Eric Frissell 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 3.1% 6.0% 14.2% 70.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.