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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+3.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+6.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.48+6.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+2.19vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.58+3.37vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.89+0.05vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.66-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05+0.69vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.75vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.67-3.31vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.05-1.82vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-0.67+2.71vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.70-2.88vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College0.90-4.06vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.53-7.35vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.88-0.91vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University-1.00-1.52vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.39-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Georgetown University2.2015.2%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.1%1st Place
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9.19University of California at Los Angeles1.484.2%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.7810.3%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University1.584.9%1st Place
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6.05University of Southern California1.8910.4%1st Place
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6.77Northwestern University1.668.8%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont1.055.5%1st Place
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9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland0.904.5%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.678.5%1st Place
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9.18University of Hawaii1.055.0%1st Place
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14.71Santa Clara University-0.671.1%1st Place
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10.12George Washington University0.703.0%1st Place
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9.94Eckerd College0.903.8%1st Place
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7.65North Carolina State University1.537.4%1st Place
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15.09University of California at Berkeley-0.880.7%1st Place
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15.48Oregon State University-1.000.9%1st Place
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14.15Arizona State University-0.390.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Davis Winsor | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Smith | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Kleha | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Cole Tillson | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 22.1% | 20.1% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Usher | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 22.4% | 27.0% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 36.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.