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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College2.43+3.37vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.53+1.25vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University2.37+0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.72-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo2.44-1.70vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University1.36-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago1.00-0.82vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.83-1.50vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University1.36-3.43vs Predicted
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13University of Toledo-0.61-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Michigan3.020.2%1st Place
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4.25University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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4.49Northwestern University2.370.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Wisconsin2.720.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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6.57Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Chicago1.000.0%1st Place
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7.5Purdue University0.830.0%1st Place
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6.57Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Toledo-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Holmberg | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 22.6% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 15.9% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 14.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 27.9% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 30.5% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Frissell | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 14.2% | 70.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.