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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.72+2.55vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo2.44+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan3.02+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.53-0.06vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.83+2.14vs Predicted
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6Bates College2.43-1.92vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University1.36-1.73vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University1.36-2.73vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.16-3.37vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago1.00-4.04vs Predicted
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13University of Toledo-0.61-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Wisconsin2.720.2%1st Place
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4.13University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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3.09University of Michigan3.020.2%1st Place
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3.94University of Minnesota2.530.1%1st Place
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7.14Purdue University0.830.0%1st Place
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4.08Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
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6.27Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.27Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.63Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Chicago1.000.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Toledo-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Boylan | 19.9% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 24.3% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 13.2% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Phil Holt | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 26.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 15.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 20.1% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 22.1% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Frissell | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 69.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.