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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+4.06vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.95vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.48+5.33vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.58+3.38vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.89-0.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.67-0.31vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.90+1.87vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.66-2.43vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-0.23vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University-0.67+3.64vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.53-4.25vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.05-3.64vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-5.33vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.70-4.90vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.88-0.84vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University-1.00-1.32vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.39-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Georgetown University2.2014.3%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.789.6%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.1%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Los Angeles1.483.5%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University1.585.2%1st Place
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5.94University of Southern California1.8911.4%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.679.3%1st Place
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9.87Eckerd College0.904.8%1st Place
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6.57Northwestern University1.669.9%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.904.0%1st Place
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14.64Santa Clara University-0.670.7%1st Place
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7.75North Carolina State University1.536.8%1st Place
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9.36University of Hawaii1.054.2%1st Place
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8.67University of Vermont1.054.8%1st Place
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10.1George Washington University0.703.4%1st Place
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15.16University of California at Berkeley-0.880.7%1st Place
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15.68Oregon State University-1.000.6%1st Place
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14.15Arizona State University-0.390.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| George Higham | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Davis Winsor | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Tillson | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Delaney Smith | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 19.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 23.2% | 26.4% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 21.4% | 36.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.