← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.20+3.93vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+4.04vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.53+4.66vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College0.90+5.93vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.14vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.58+2.33vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.67-0.26vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California1.89-1.96vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles1.48+0.23vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii1.05-0.71vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University1.66-4.38vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University0.70-1.97vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.05-4.28vs Predicted
-
14Santa Clara University-0.67+0.57vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley-0.88+0.13vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-6.29vs Predicted
-
17Oregon State University-1.00-1.32vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-0.39-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.93Georgetown University2.2015.6%1st Place
-
6.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.7811.1%1st Place
-
7.66North Carolina State University1.536.6%1st Place
-
9.93Eckerd College0.903.4%1st Place
-
8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.9%1st Place
-
8.33Roger Williams University1.585.5%1st Place
-
6.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.678.8%1st Place
-
6.04University of Southern California1.899.8%1st Place
-
9.23University of California at Los Angeles1.484.8%1st Place
-
9.29University of Hawaii1.053.8%1st Place
-
6.62Northwestern University1.668.1%1st Place
-
10.03George Washington University0.703.0%1st Place
-
8.72University of Vermont1.055.4%1st Place
-
14.57Santa Clara University-0.671.2%1st Place
-
15.13University of California at Berkeley-0.880.4%1st Place
-
9.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.904.8%1st Place
-
15.68Oregon State University-1.000.4%1st Place
-
14.23Arizona State University-0.390.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 15.6% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Emma Snead | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Higham | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cole Tillson | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Davis Winsor | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Smith | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 22.2% | 19.9% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 25.4% |
| Max Kleha | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 36.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.