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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.89+4.95vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+2.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.67+3.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.58+4.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48+4.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+0.25vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.53+0.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.11vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.90+0.87vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.66-3.24vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-1.26vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.70-1.82vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.39+1.36vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.67+0.60vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.05-6.56vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.88-1.02vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University-1.00-1.33vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.05-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95University of Southern California1.8911.7%1st Place
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4.89Georgetown University2.2015.8%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.678.6%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University1.584.8%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Los Angeles1.483.6%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.789.9%1st Place
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7.64North Carolina State University1.536.5%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.0%1st Place
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9.87Eckerd College0.903.5%1st Place
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6.76Northwestern University1.668.6%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.2%1st Place
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10.18George Washington University0.703.8%1st Place
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14.36Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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14.6Santa Clara University-0.671.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Vermont1.056.3%1st Place
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14.98University of California at Berkeley-0.880.6%1st Place
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15.67Oregon State University-1.000.4%1st Place
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9.31University of Hawaii1.054.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Winsor | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 15.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Tillson | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| George Higham | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Smith | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Kleha | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 14.9% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 20.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 24.6% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 36.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.