Race 2B

timme-angsten-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Will Cyr 30.4% 22.7% 16.3% 13.6% 9.3% 5.0% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 16.1% 17.9% 18.1% 18.8% 12.1% 8.8% 6.0% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Edward Moan 7.9% 9.3% 11.3% 11.4% 14.9% 19.9% 15.5% 6.7% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Katy Carlyle 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 3.1% 4.8% 9.5% 37.4% 40.7% 0.0%
John Kinzel 23.9% 24.5% 18.2% 15.4% 9.6% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 8.8% 10.6% 11.0% 13.1% 17.5% 15.5% 12.5% 9.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Grant Pollock 5.5% 7.4% 12.6% 11.8% 16.2% 15.3% 16.8% 10.7% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.7% 2.8% 4.7% 6.8% 7.8% 11.2% 16.1% 30.5% 15.0% 2.4% 0.0%
Gabrielle Salvaterra 3.7% 3.6% 6.8% 7.2% 9.2% 14.0% 19.6% 23.2% 11.1% 1.6% 0.0%
Andrew Logan 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.9% 2.4% 3.7% 6.9% 28.6% 54.4% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.7% 2.8% 4.7% 6.8% 7.8% 11.2% 16.1% 30.5% 15.0% 2.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.