Race 3B

timme-angsten-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Will Cyr 29.1% 24.3% 17.5% 12.2% 9.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Kinzel 24.1% 22.8% 18.4% 15.9% 9.6% 5.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Moan 8.4% 8.9% 11.8% 11.3% 16.2% 18.9% 14.4% 7.6% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Luke Miller 7.2% 9.8% 12.9% 14.1% 15.6% 17.8% 11.8% 8.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 16.3% 18.5% 18.3% 18.4% 13.6% 7.3% 4.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Pollock 8.0% 7.9% 10.1% 12.0% 14.9% 15.9% 15.4% 12.4% 3.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.3% 2.4% 4.2% 6.2% 7.5% 12.1% 19.1% 28.5% 15.0% 2.7% 0.0%
Gabrielle Salvaterra 3.6% 4.2% 5.7% 7.8% 9.6% 13.9% 20.6% 22.5% 10.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.3% 2.4% 4.2% 6.2% 7.5% 12.1% 19.1% 28.5% 15.0% 2.7% 0.0%
Katy Carlyle 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 5.2% 9.0% 38.3% 39.8% 0.0%
Andrew Logan 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 3.7% 6.8% 28.2% 55.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.