Race 4B

timme-angsten-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Edward Moan 9.1% 10.3% 10.9% 13.5% 15.6% 16.1% 13.9% 8.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
John Kinzel 24.2% 22.9% 18.3% 15.6% 9.4% 5.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Will Cyr 27.0% 22.9% 18.6% 15.6% 9.0% 5.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 8.3% 9.5% 12.8% 12.1% 16.8% 18.2% 12.4% 7.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 16.3% 19.5% 17.7% 17.1% 12.3% 8.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Pollock 9.0% 7.2% 9.2% 11.4% 15.7% 16.3% 15.4% 12.5% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Gabrielle Salvaterra 2.6% 3.2% 6.7% 7.1% 9.4% 15.5% 20.9% 22.8% 10.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.3% 3.4% 4.7% 5.9% 7.9% 10.2% 17.6% 29.8% 14.8% 3.4% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.3% 3.4% 4.7% 5.9% 7.9% 10.2% 17.6% 29.8% 14.8% 3.4% 0.0%
Katy Carlyle 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 2.3% 2.6% 5.8% 8.5% 38.6% 39.3% 0.0%
Andrew Logan 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 3.7% 7.1% 28.5% 55.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.