Race 5B

timme-angsten-memorial-regatta

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Edward Moan 8.6% 11.4% 11.4% 13.4% 14.9% 15.5% 14.3% 7.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 17.3% 16.4% 19.1% 16.8% 12.9% 9.8% 5.1% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 7.9% 10.7% 9.5% 13.6% 15.2% 19.1% 14.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0%
John Kinzel 23.7% 22.2% 19.5% 17.0% 9.2% 5.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Will Cyr 27.9% 23.6% 19.4% 13.2% 9.0% 3.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Pollock 8.3% 6.9% 10.4% 10.8% 16.5% 16.4% 14.4% 13.0% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Gabrielle Salvaterra 2.6% 3.6% 5.7% 7.5% 10.2% 15.4% 20.7% 22.7% 10.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.5% 3.7% 3.8% 6.5% 7.9% 10.0% 17.4% 29.7% 15.1% 3.4% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.5% 3.7% 3.8% 6.5% 7.9% 10.0% 17.4% 29.7% 15.1% 3.4% 0.0%
Katy Carlyle 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 2.3% 3.3% 4.4% 9.2% 38.3% 39.4% 0.0%
Andrew Logan 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 1.9% 1.8% 4.1% 7.1% 28.2% 54.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.