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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Will Cyr 29.2% 22.6% 18.9% 13.0% 8.6% 4.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 16.1% 18.1% 17.7% 14.8% 15.7% 8.8% 6.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
John Kinzel 23.6% 21.9% 19.3% 15.7% 10.7% 6.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Pollock 6.1% 8.3% 10.0% 12.9% 15.1% 17.3% 16.6% 10.2% 3.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Miller 9.0% 10.4% 11.4% 13.9% 16.3% 17.6% 11.8% 7.0% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Gabrielle Salvaterra 5.1% 3.9% 5.1% 7.7% 8.8% 13.7% 19.0% 23.8% 10.7% 2.2% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.2% 2.6% 4.0% 6.7% 6.8% 11.0% 19.8% 29.2% 14.8% 2.9% 0.0%
Edward Moan 7.9% 10.8% 12.3% 13.9% 14.5% 16.2% 13.3% 8.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.2% 2.6% 4.0% 6.7% 6.8% 11.0% 19.8% 29.2% 14.8% 2.9% 0.0%
Katy Carlyle 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.9% 3.0% 4.3% 10.2% 38.2% 39.3% 0.0%
Andrew Logan 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 1.6% 1.9% 4.2% 7.7% 28.0% 54.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.