← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.37+1.92vs Predicted
-
2University of Buffalo1.34+2.79vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan2.49-0.19vs Predicted
-
4Bates College1.32+0.81vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota2.01-1.48vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University1.14-0.88vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University0.49-0.65vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University0.22-1.21vs Predicted
-
10Michigan State University0.22-3.21vs Predicted
-
11University of Chicago-1.15-2.29vs Predicted
-
12University of Toledo-1.63-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.92University of Wisconsin2.370.3%1st Place
-
4.79University of Buffalo1.340.1%1st Place
-
2.81University of Michigan2.490.3%1st Place
-
4.81Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
-
3.52University of Minnesota2.010.2%1st Place
-
5.12Purdue University1.140.1%1st Place
-
6.35Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
-
6.79Michigan State University0.220.0%1st Place
-
6.79Michigan State University0.220.0%1st Place
-
8.71University of Chicago-1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.19University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kinzel | 26.9% | 22.9% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Cyr | 26.0% | 23.5% | 20.8% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 16.5% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Pollock | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 23.5% | 21.5% | 11.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 28.3% | 16.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 28.3% | 16.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Sovie | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 38.5% | 35.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 25.7% | 58.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.