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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Kinzel 26.9% 22.9% 17.5% 12.0% 10.8% 5.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 8.7% 8.1% 12.2% 14.5% 15.3% 18.3% 12.8% 7.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Will Cyr 26.0% 23.5% 20.8% 13.2% 9.1% 5.1% 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Moan 7.3% 9.7% 11.9% 14.4% 16.5% 16.5% 13.1% 8.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 16.5% 19.1% 16.9% 18.4% 12.3% 9.1% 5.2% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Pollock 8.3% 8.5% 8.6% 12.1% 14.7% 15.8% 15.7% 12.7% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Gabrielle Salvaterra 2.7% 3.6% 5.9% 7.4% 10.5% 12.2% 23.5% 21.5% 11.0% 1.7% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.3% 3.2% 5.0% 5.8% 7.5% 11.9% 15.7% 28.3% 16.5% 3.8% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 2.3% 3.2% 5.0% 5.8% 7.5% 11.9% 15.7% 28.3% 16.5% 3.8% 0.0%
Madeline Sovie 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% 2.2% 2.9% 5.8% 11.6% 38.5% 35.2% 0.0%
Andrew Logan 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 2.4% 3.1% 7.0% 25.7% 58.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.