← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.02vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+2.78vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.20-0.05vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.05+0.68vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy1.25-0.62vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.28vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.62vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University-0.08-1.02vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.02University of Pennsylvania2.1624.4%1st Place
-
4.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.169.3%1st Place
-
2.95Georgetown University2.2026.5%1st Place
-
4.68University of Vermont1.0510.7%1st Place
-
4.38U. S. Naval Academy1.2510.9%1st Place
-
5.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.2%1st Place
-
6.38SUNY Maritime College-0.024.7%1st Place
-
6.98Princeton University-0.083.0%1st Place
-
6.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jackson McAliley | 24.4% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
Henry Haddon | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 4.3% |
Diego Escobar | 26.5% | 22.6% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Calvin Lamosse | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
Hugh Carty | 10.9% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 12.0% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 23.3% |
Advik Eswaran | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 34.4% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.