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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington3.09+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.81+1.54vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.76+4.97vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.02+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.99+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon1.84-0.40vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.05-1.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.72-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound1.26-3.07vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.49-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Washington3.090.3%1st Place
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3.54University of Washington2.810.2%1st Place
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7.97Oregon State University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.24Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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5.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.990.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Oregon1.840.1%1st Place
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5.17Western Washington University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.85University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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6.45Northwestern University1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Lopez | 29.2% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Darrin | 20.0% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Aike Burger | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 41.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Logan Swartz | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Craig Emmes | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Katherine Stephens | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 7.2% |
| Mike Knape | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 18.6% |
| Andrew Wien | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.