← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emily Avey 20.0% 19.5% 16.6% 14.0% 11.9% 9.2% 4.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Anna Morrow 10.4% 11.6% 12.3% 12.8% 12.8% 13.1% 12.2% 8.0% 5.5% 1.2%
Cooper Snell 26.1% 20.7% 17.8% 13.2% 9.7% 6.9% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Lauren McClintock 10.8% 11.6% 12.6% 13.5% 12.2% 12.2% 11.8% 8.2% 5.2% 2.1%
Duncan Weiner 2.5% 2.6% 3.4% 3.6% 5.1% 5.8% 9.7% 14.1% 21.1% 32.0%
Annelisa Ayars 7.0% 7.7% 8.6% 10.9% 12.6% 13.6% 13.6% 13.2% 9.2% 3.7%
BENJAMIN NELSON 12.7% 14.7% 13.8% 13.6% 13.4% 13.2% 9.6% 6.2% 2.5% 0.5%
Malcolm Renney 5.2% 5.5% 6.2% 8.1% 9.4% 11.3% 13.7% 16.9% 14.7% 9.2%
John Kish 3.5% 4.2% 5.5% 6.9% 8.6% 9.1% 11.6% 17.2% 19.1% 14.3%
Eric Newell 1.8% 1.9% 3.4% 3.5% 4.4% 5.8% 9.3% 11.7% 21.6% 36.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.