Race 1B

frosh-soph

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Maxwell Miller 31.1% 24.3% 16.6% 11.7% 8.3% 5.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Eloise Glickman 11.2% 10.8% 10.8% 14.4% 13.1% 14.1% 12.6% 8.2% 4.9%
Caroline Hurley 10.9% 12.6% 14.1% 14.1% 13.2% 11.8% 10.9% 8.3% 4.1%
Jaxon Gordon 8.0% 9.7% 9.0% 11.2% 12.2% 13.2% 15.1% 12.8% 8.8%
Dylan Murphy 15.8% 16.6% 16.5% 15.0% 12.8% 10.2% 7.4% 4.0% 1.6%
Kurtis Johnston 7.4% 9.0% 9.2% 11.5% 12.9% 12.3% 14.2% 13.2% 10.2%
Malcolm Duncan Graves 7.8% 8.7% 12.0% 11.1% 12.8% 13.5% 12.6% 12.8% 8.8%
Madeleine Williams 3.8% 3.8% 5.0% 4.9% 7.1% 9.2% 11.9% 21.1% 33.2%
Austin Lai 4.1% 4.6% 6.8% 6.1% 7.5% 10.7% 13.4% 18.7% 28.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.