← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+3.05vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan2.49+0.50vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+0.22vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University1.91-0.63vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University0.91-0.07vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University1.42-1.94vs Predicted
-
7University of North Texas-0.53-0.14vs Predicted
-
9University of Central Oklahoma-0.74-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.05Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
-
2.5University of Michigan2.490.3%1st Place
-
3.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.2%1st Place
-
3.37Texas A&M University1.910.2%1st Place
-
4.93Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
-
4.06Tulane University1.420.1%1st Place
-
6.86University of North Texas-0.530.0%1st Place
-
7.0University of Central Oklahoma-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 10.6% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Will Cyr | 32.4% | 25.1% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 20.3% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Colin Feik | 16.6% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 25.1% | 16.7% | 3.9% |
| Philip Krause | 11.2% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Schwend | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 31.2% | 44.9% |
| Tyler Boerner | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 8.9% | 31.6% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.