Race 3B

frosh-soph

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Caroline Hurley 11.6% 11.8% 13.8% 14.2% 12.9% 12.0% 11.2% 8.5% 4.0%
Dylan Murphy 15.8% 17.2% 14.8% 14.7% 13.7% 10.2% 7.5% 4.1% 1.8%
Maxwell Miller 30.6% 22.4% 18.0% 11.7% 9.2% 5.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Malcolm Duncan Graves 7.8% 8.7% 11.2% 11.3% 11.8% 14.6% 12.8% 12.8% 8.8%
Austin Lai 4.2% 5.3% 6.0% 6.9% 8.2% 9.6% 13.1% 18.4% 28.3%
Jaxon Gordon 8.1% 8.8% 10.2% 11.7% 11.8% 13.2% 13.9% 13.2% 9.2%
Madeleine Williams 3.9% 4.5% 4.9% 5.7% 7.2% 8.9% 11.7% 18.4% 34.8%
Kurtis Johnston 7.2% 9.0% 8.8% 11.2% 11.9% 13.3% 15.6% 14.8% 8.2%
Eloise Glickman 10.8% 12.1% 12.3% 12.8% 13.2% 12.9% 12.3% 9.0% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.