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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+2.19vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.15vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.49-0.54vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.42+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of North Texas-0.53+1.85vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University1.91-2.72vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.91-3.07vs Predicted
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9University of Central Oklahoma-0.74-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.2%1st Place
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4.15Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Michigan2.490.3%1st Place
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4.12Tulane University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.85University of North Texas-0.530.0%1st Place
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3.28Texas A&M University1.910.2%1st Place
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4.93Ohio State University0.910.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Central Oklahoma-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McLaughlin | 18.7% | 20.0% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| John Reddaway | 10.6% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 21.5% | 15.9% | 8.3% | 1.6% |
| Will Cyr | 33.6% | 24.1% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Philip Krause | 11.0% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Schwend | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 10.5% | 33.2% | 42.6% |
| Colin Feik | 17.3% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 26.3% | 15.5% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Boerner | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 30.2% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.