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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.03+3.48vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.20+3.19vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-2.55-0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.32-0.14vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.22+1.95vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.36-0.81vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.10-2.27vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.02-1.46vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.41-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Western Washington University0.039.8%1st Place
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5.19Western Washington University-0.208.8%1st Place
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2.74University of Washington-2.5530.4%1st Place
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3.86University of Oregon0.3216.1%1st Place
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6.95Western Washington University-1.223.5%1st Place
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5.19University of Washington-0.368.8%1st Place
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4.73Unknown School-0.1010.2%1st Place
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6.54University of Washington-1.024.1%1st Place
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5.32Western Washington University-0.418.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Hurley | 9.8% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 8.3% |
| Maxwell Miller | 30.4% | 22.8% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Murphy | 16.1% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Madeleine Williams | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 36.9% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 8.8% |
| Eloise Glickman | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% |
| Austin Lai | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 25.7% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.