Race 5B

frosh-soph

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Caroline Hurley 13.2% 11.5% 14.1% 13.7% 13.1% 12.6% 10.5% 8.5% 2.9%
Dylan Murphy 16.4% 15.0% 16.9% 15.0% 13.5% 10.0% 7.6% 3.5% 2.1%
Eloise Glickman 10.6% 12.6% 11.1% 14.3% 14.1% 13.0% 11.5% 8.7% 4.2%
Maxwell Miller 29.1% 23.5% 17.7% 12.7% 8.2% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Kurtis Johnston 7.1% 8.8% 10.1% 10.8% 11.2% 14.0% 14.8% 14.0% 9.2%
Madeleine Williams 3.3% 4.1% 5.5% 5.5% 7.3% 8.9% 12.0% 17.2% 36.0%
Malcolm Duncan Graves 8.2% 10.1% 10.8% 11.3% 11.6% 13.5% 13.5% 12.8% 8.2%
Austin Lai 4.2% 4.7% 4.5% 5.9% 8.0% 10.4% 13.4% 20.3% 28.7%
Jaxon Gordon 7.8% 9.8% 9.5% 10.8% 13.1% 12.7% 13.9% 14.0% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.