← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University0.03+3.42vs Predicted
-
2University of Oregon0.32+1.84vs Predicted
-
3Unknown School-0.10+1.62vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-2.55-1.21vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.41+0.37vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-1.22+0.87vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-0.20-1.84vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-1.02-1.33vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington-0.36-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.42Western Washington University0.0313.2%1st Place
-
3.84University of Oregon0.3216.4%1st Place
-
4.62Unknown School-0.1010.6%1st Place
-
2.79University of Washington-2.5529.1%1st Place
-
5.37Western Washington University-0.417.1%1st Place
-
6.87Western Washington University-1.223.3%1st Place
-
5.16Western Washington University-0.208.2%1st Place
-
6.67University of Washington-1.024.2%1st Place
-
5.26University of Washington-0.367.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Caroline Hurley | 13.2% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
Dylan Murphy | 16.4% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
Eloise Glickman | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
Maxwell Miller | 29.1% | 23.5% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Kurtis Johnston | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 9.2% |
Madeleine Williams | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 36.0% |
Malcolm Duncan Graves | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
Austin Lai | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 20.3% | 28.7% |
Jaxon Gordon | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.